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A call to honesty in pandemic modeling

  • Article
  • Apr 3, 2020
  • #Pandemic
Wesley Pegden
@WesleyPegden
(Author)
medium.com
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Recently there has been a proliferation of modeling work which has been used to make the point that if we can stay inside, practice extreme social distancing, and generally lock-dow... Show More

Recently there has been a proliferation of modeling work which has been used to make the point that if we can stay inside, practice extreme social distancing, and generally lock-down nonessential…

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Ata Can Kadıoğlu @atacankadioglu · Apr 13, 2020
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Elad Gil @eladgil
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This captures a key point - showing a single wave "flattening" and then making a claim on lives saved ignores all subsequent coming waves. It is misleading in giving a wholistic picture of an epidemic and can be misused or misunderstood when setting health & economic policy
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