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How do Venture Capitalists make decisions?

  • Paper
  • Jan, 2020
  • #Startup #StartupInvesting
Paul A. Gompers
@PaulAGompers
(Author)
Will Gornall
@WillGornall
(Author)
Steven Kaplan (economist)
@StevenKaplaneconomist
(Author)
Ilya Strebulaev
@IlyaStrebulaev
(Author)
www.sciencedirect.com
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We survey 885 institutional venture capitalists (VCs) at 681 firms to learn how they make decisions. Using the framework in Kaplan and Strömberg (2001), we provide detailed informat... Show More

We survey 885 institutional venture capitalists (VCs) at 681 firms to learn how they make decisions. Using the framework in Kaplan and Strömberg (2001), we provide detailed information on VCs’ practices in pre-investment screening (sourcing evaluating and selecting investments), in structuring investments, and in post-investment monitoring and advising. In selecting investments, VCs see the management team as somewhat more important than business-related characteristics such as product or technology although there is meaningful cross-sectional variation across company stage and industry. VCs also attribute the ultimate investment success or failure more to the team than to the business. While deal sourcing, deal selection, and post-investment value-added all contribute to value creation, the VCs rate deal selection as the most important of the three. We compare our results to those for chief financial officers (Graham and Harvey, 2001) and private equity investors (Gompers et al., 2016a).

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Atiyenur Uygur @Atiye · Oct 14, 2023
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This is a comprehensive research paper to understand how the VCs work. Here are some notes: Deal Sourcing The median VC closes about 4 deals per year. 1/4 opportunities lead to meeting the management; 1/3 of those are reviewed at a partners meeting. Roughly half of those opportunities reviewed at a partners meeting proceed onward to the due diligence stage. Conditional on reaching the due diligence stage, startups are offered a term sheet in about a 1/3 of cases. Offering a term sheet does not always result in a closed deal, as other VC firms can offer competing term sheets at the same time. Investment selection VCs ranked the management team (or jockey) as the most important factor(%95). Business (or horse) related factors were also frequently mentioned as important with business model at 83%, product at 74%, market at 68%, and industry at 31%. Valuation Exit considerations are the most important factor Comparable company valuations rank second and desired ownership third.
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