Russia is about to default on its foreign debt. That's a bit unusual, even for Russia. To see why, we need to go back to 1918. [THREAD] https://t.co/IWxs4GUESd

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Philip E. Tetlock @PhilipETetlock · Mar 18, 2022

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For understanding how tricky it is to translate “historical understanding” into forecasting accuracy, I recommend the elegantly threaded arguments of @ProfPaulPoast

Tweet Mar 18, 2022

Russia is about to default on its foreign debt. That's a bit unusual, even for Russia. To see why, we need to go back to 1918. [THREAD] https://t.co/IWxs4GUESd

by Paul Poast

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