Michael Kofman

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Director, Russia Studies at CNA. Senior Adjunct Fellow, CNAS. I follow Russian military capabilities, operations & strategy. Opinions are mine alone, hopefully.

Overview Posts Content Recommendations

Tweet Feb 6, 2023

A few thoughts on the current course of the war. Although winter has proven a transitional phase, with both sides focusing on force reconstitution and positional fighting. The outlines of the coming months & likely offensive operations are steadily b

by Michael Kofman

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Tweet Apr 2, 2022

Thoughts on the current state of the war. First half of the thread is a bit of a catchup for me, having not posted anything last weekend, and then the rest on where things might be heading & what to look for in the coming weeks. Thread. (map belo

by Michael Kofman

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Tweet Feb 28, 2022

Long thread about how I think the first 96 hours have gone, still very early/incomplete impressions. The initial Russian operation was premised on terrible assumptions about Ukraine’s ability & will to fight, and an unworkable concept of operatio

by Michael Kofman

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Podcast episode Aug 25, 2023

How Ukraine Can Win the Peace: A Conversation with Stephen Kotkin

by Stephen Kotkin and Michael Kofman

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Article May 10, 2023

Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive

by Michael Kofman and Rob Lee

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Tweet Feb 19, 2023

A few thoughts on the Russian winter offensive, which began 3+ weeks ago, and has so far yielded little progress for RU forces. Poor force quality, loss of junior officers, ammunition, and equipment constraints limit Russian offensive potential. Thre

by Michael Kofman

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Tweet Mar 20, 2022

Thoughts on the current state of the war and where things might be heading. About 2 weeks ago I suggested that Russian forces have ~3 weeks before combat effectiveness becomes increasingly exhausted. I think that's generally been right, but we're not

by Michael Kofman

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Video Mar 3, 2022

The War in Ukraine: An Operational Assessment

by Michael Kofman and 2 others

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Podcast episode Feb 28, 2022

Interpreting the First Few Days of the Russo-Ukrainian War

by Michael Kofman

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Article Nov 23, 2021

Feeding the Bear: A Closer Look at Russian Army Logistics and the Fait Accompli - War on the Rocks

by Michael Kofman

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Article Dec 23, 2022

How the Battle for the Donbas Shaped Ukraine’s Success - Foreign Policy Research Institute

by Rob Lee and Michael Kofman

Video Oct 14, 2022

Monterey Conversations: The Biden Administration Policy on Ukraine | Kendall-Taylor | Kofman | Liik

by Michael Kofman and Andrea Kendall-Taylor

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Michael Kofman

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