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Philip E. Tetlock

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Author of books at the intersection of psychology, political science, and organizational behavior including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Expert Political... Show More

Author of books at the intersection of psychology, political science, and organizational behavior including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project.

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Tweet Mar 18, 2022
Russia is about to default on its foreign debt. That's a bit unusual, even for Russia. To see why, we need to go back to 1918. [THREAD] https://t.co/IWxs4GUESd
by Paul Poast
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Recommended by 1 person
1 mention by Philip E. Tetlock
Tweet Feb 6, 2022
1. Science often contradicts other science. When this happens, disputant scholars tend to work separately, designing their own new studies to launch at their opponents. These new studies rarely persuade the other side, and contradictory claims live i
by Cory Clark
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1 mention by Philip E. Tetlock
Book 2018
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
by Annie Duke
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Recommended by 23 people
1 mention by Philip E. Tetlock
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